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Top 20 Unlikely-to-Succeed Index, Distressed Quality Score Weighted

By Aman JhaMade 21 Jun 202620 companies

no backtest data
How it would have done

Key numbers

For the time range selected above.

vs the S&P 500
Average per year
Biggest drop
Ups and downs

About this portfolio

The idea it was built from

build me an index on the most unlikely companies to be successful

How much of each
Weighted by composite unlikeliness score
Most in one company
12%
Refreshed
Every 3 months, next 21 Sept 2026

What’s inside

20 companies. The biggest is IEP at 10%. No company can be more than 12%.

Percentages are target weights at the last rebalance.

Weighting: factorFactor: composite_unlikeliness_scoreLimit per company: 12%Rebalance: quarterly

Company pages

Each company’s price history, and the other portfolios that hold it.

More detail

Everything else we know about this portfolio. Open any section to dig in.Pro view: every section is open. Switch to Simple at the top of the page to tidy them away.

Risk-adjusted returns for each company, what drove the results, and how the AI built this portfolio are in Pro view.

The Sharpe ratio for each company, a suggested re-weighting and what drove the returns come with the Pro plan.

See Pro

About Top 20 Unlikely-to-Succeed Index, Distressed Quality Score Weighted

What stocks are in Top 20 Unlikely-to-Succeed Index, Distressed Quality Score Weighted?

It holds 20 companies. The largest are IEP, QS, MSTR, LUNR and HASI, followed by COIN, UFPI, VECO, JBL and TTWO.

How has Top 20 Unlikely-to-Succeed Index, Distressed Quality Score Weighted performed?

−14.0% since it was made, −13.2% over the past year against +14.4% for the S&P 500, +20.9% over five years in the backtest. Results before the creation date are simulated from real past prices and leave out fees and taxes. Past performance is not a guide to the future.

How is Top 20 Unlikely-to-Succeed Index, Distressed Quality Score Weighted weighted?

Shares are tilted towards companies that score higher on the chosen measure. No company can be more than 12% of the portfolio. The biggest holding is IEP at 10.0%.

Can I invest in Top 20 Unlikely-to-Succeed Index, Distressed Quality Score Weighted?

It is not a fund you can buy. It is a list of shares you can buy yourself at your broker, and Arithmos shows you how for more than 40 brokers, or creates it as a Trading 212 pie. Arithmos is a research tool, not investment advice.

Discussion

Results before a portfolio’s creation date are simulated from real historical prices and don’t include fees, taxes or trading costs. How we calculate performance. Nothing here is investment advice.

A research tool, not investment advice. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Learn more