← all weeksWeek of 9 May 2026
Arithmos · Index of the Week

Dividend Aristocrats ex-Tobacco 25

The 25-year dividend-growth list with tobacco names dropped and the savings redistributed by FCF coverage, not yield.

Why it won

Most aristocrats screens reward the highest yielders, which means tobacco crowds the top. Removing it and re-weighting by free-cash-flow coverage of the dividend produces a cleaner long-duration income stream with less terminal risk. The income drag is real but small, the duration profile is much better.

The prompt

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats but exclude tobacco entirely. 25 names, weighted by trailing free cash flow coverage of the dividend, with a 7% per-name cap. Rebalance once a year.

Methodology

  • Universe: S&P 500 constituents with 25 or more consecutive years of dividend increases.
  • Exclusion: GICS Tobacco sub-industry removed entirely.
  • Quality filter: trailing 12m FCF must cover the dividend at least 1.5x.
  • Weight by FCF dividend coverage ratio, capped at 7% per name.
  • Annual rebalance in January, no intra-year additions.

Backtest

CAGR9.4%
Vol11.6%
Sharpe0.71
Max DD-15.8%
Period: May 2021 to May 2026 (5Y)
5-year backtest trails SPY by 2.7% annualised but with 3.5 points lower volatility and a much shallower drawdown profile.

Figures are illustrative for editorial purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Holdings

TickerNameWeight
JNJJohnson & Johnson7.0%
PGProcter & Gamble7.0%
KOCoca-Cola6.0%
PEPPepsiCo6.0%
WMTWalmart6.0%
MCDMcDonald's5.0%
CLColgate-Palmolive5.0%
GWWW W Grainger5.0%
EMREmerson Electric4.0%
ITWIllinois Tool Works5.0%
ADPAutomatic Data Processing5.0%
MMM3M Company3.0%
TROWT Rowe Price4.0%
GDGeneral Dynamics4.0%
TGTTarget3.0%
SHWSherwin-Williams4.0%
ABTAbbott Laboratories4.0%
MDTMedtronic3.0%
SYYSysco Corporation3.0%
BDXBecton Dickinson3.0%
CINFCincinnati Financial2.0%
AFLAflac3.0%
ECLEcolab3.0%

Risks

  • Defensive consumer and healthcare names underperform in sharp risk-on rallies.
  • Dividend-coverage weighting penalises high-growth, low-payout aristocrats that would have delivered more total return.
  • Removing tobacco gives up 60 to 80bps of headline yield versus the unfiltered list.

Earlier weeks

Arithmos · investment research & data tool · not investment advice · past performance does not guarantee future results.
Investment research & data tool · not investment advice · not a regulated broker or advisor · past performance does not guarantee future results.