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Arithmos · Index of the Week

AI Infrastructure ex-Magnificent-Seven 25

Twenty-five picks-and-shovels names behind the AI buildout, with Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Apple and Tesla deliberately excluded.

Why it won

The dominant AI ETFs are effectively a leveraged bet on Nvidia plus the hyperscalers. This thesis isolates the second-layer infrastructure: power, cooling, optical, foundry equipment, memory, networking, EDA software and grid. It is the most-pitched custom prompt on the platform and the one that holds up best in stress tests against an equal-weight benchmark.

The prompt

AI infrastructure index but exclude NVIDIA, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Apple and Tesla. Include power, cooling, foundry equipment, memory, optical networking, EDA and grid. 25 names, equal-weighted with quarterly rebalance.

Methodology

  • Universe: global developed-market listed companies generating disclosed AI infrastructure revenue or backlog.
  • Exclusion: NVIDIA, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Apple and Tesla.
  • Inclusion verticals: power generation and transmission, data-centre cooling, lithography and foundry equipment, HBM memory, optical networking, EDA software, server ODM, hyperscale REIT.
  • Equal weight at 4% per name, drift tolerated between rebalances.
  • Quarterly rebalance, names dropped if AI revenue contribution falls below 15%.

Backtest

CAGR26.7%
Vol27.4%
Sharpe0.91
Max DD-32.1%
Period: May 2023 to May 2026 (3Y)
3-year backtest beats SPY by 13.2% annualised at roughly twice the volatility, which is the trade you should expect from a pure-play theme index.

Figures are illustrative for editorial purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Holdings

TickerNameWeight
ASMLASML Holding4.0%
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing4.0%
AVGOBroadcom4.0%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices4.0%
ARMArm Holdings4.0%
MUMicron Technology4.0%
SNPSSynopsys4.0%
CDNSCadence Design Systems4.0%
AMATApplied Materials4.0%
LRCXLam Research4.0%
KLACKLA Corporation4.0%
ANETArista Networks4.0%
CRDOCredo Technology4.0%
VRTVertiv Holdings4.0%
ETNEaton Corporation4.0%
PWRQuanta Services4.0%
CEGConstellation Energy4.0%
VSTVistra Corp4.0%
EQIXEquinix4.0%
DLRDigital Realty Trust4.0%
SMCISuper Micro Computer4.0%
ALABAstera Labs4.0%
COHRCoherent Corp4.0%
GEVGE Vernova4.0%
8035.TTokyo Electron4.0%

Risks

  • Pure-play AI infrastructure is highly correlated to hyperscale capex cycles and will overshoot in both directions.
  • Equal weight gives small caps like Credo and Astera the same weight as ASML, which raises idiosyncratic risk.
  • Power and cooling exposure introduces regulated utility risk that does not always behave like the underlying AI theme.

Earlier weeks

Arithmos · investment research & data tool · not investment advice · past performance does not guarantee future results.
Investment research & data tool · not investment advice · not a regulated broker or advisor · past performance does not guarantee future results.